Iowa: The Most Representative State? (with Peverill Squire), PS: Political Science & Politics (2009)

There are perhaps many good arguments for Iowa maintaining its "first in the nation" status,...



Race Blunts The Economic Effect? The 2008 Obama Forecast (with Charles Tien), PS: Political Science & Politics (2009)

The October 2008 issue of PS published a symposium of presidential and congressional forecasts made...



Old Man on the Train, Lyrical Iowa (2008)


The Job of President and the Jobs Model Forecast: Obama for '08? (with Charles Tien), PS: Political Science & Politics (2008)

The statistical modelers are back. The presidential election forecasting errors of 2000 did not repeat...



TR v. PR: French Double Ballot Effects (with Christine Fauvelle-Aymar), Electoral Studies (2008)

This paper presents a natural experiment, comparing the effects of two-round (TR) and proportional representation...



The American Voter Revisited (with William G. Jacoby, Helmut Norpoth, and Herbert F. Weisberg) (2008)

Today we are politically polarized as never before. The presidential elections of 2000 and 2004...


The French Voter: Before and After the 2002 Elections (2004)

Why do French voters vote the way they do? In this book, leading international scholars...


How France Votes (2000)

How France Votes takes as context the presidential election of 1995, which saw the triumph...


Data Analysis: An Introduction (1995)

This accessible introduction to data analysis focuses on the interpretation of statistical results, in particular...


Contributions to Books

Forty Years of Publishing in Quantitative Methodology, The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology (2008)

Economic Models of Voting (with Mary Stegmaier), The Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior (2007)

Civic Life and Political Participation in the Midwest (with Andrew Bargen), The American Midwest: An Interpretive Encyclopedia (2006)

Regression Models, Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science (2005)

Causal Modeling (with Tim Futing Liao), The Sage Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods (2004)