A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General ElectionBritish Journal of Politics and International Relations (2005)
AbstractRecently, we proposed an original statistical model for forecasting general elections in the United Kingdom, based on the observation of a few key indicators of the political and economic system. That vote function model was tested against the results of the 2001 general election. Here we evaluate the results of that test, and offer an appropriately revised model for the forecasting of the upcoming 2005 general election. According to our forecast, a Labour victory appears the most likely outcome.
Publication DateMay, 2005
Citation InformationÉric Bélanger, Michael S Lewis-Beck and Richard Nadeau. "A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General Election" British Journal of Politics and International Relations Vol. 7 Iss. 2 (2005)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/michael_lewis_beck/57/