Prof. Keisler has over 20 years consulting to numerous Fortune 100 companies and
government agencies independently and, prior to joining UMB, as a decision analyst at
Strategic Decisions Group, Inc., Argonne National Laboratory, and General Motors Corp. He
is President of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. He is also Past-President of the
Society for Risk Analysis - Decision Analysis and Risk Specialty Group, an Associate
Editor of Interfaces, an Editor at the EURO Journal on Decision Processes and a Fellow in
the Society of Decision Professionals. His Ph.D. in Decision Sciences is from Harvard
University and his MBA is from the University of Chicago. He is a recipient of the 2013
Publication Award of the Decision Analysis Society for his co-edited book Portfolio
Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation, published by Springer.

Articles

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Value of information analysis: The state of application. Environment Systems & Decisions (with Eric Chu, Zachary Collier, Nina Sinatra, and Igor Linkov), Environment Systems & Decisions (2014)

The value of information (VoI) is a decision analytic method for quantifying the potential benefit...

 

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Observing, reporting, and deciding in networks of sentences (with H. Jerome Keisler), Annals of Pure and Applied Logic (2014)

In prior work we considered networks of agents who prove facts from their knowledge bases...

 

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Scenario analysis: a review of methods and applications for engineering and environmental systems (with Yousra Tourki and Igor Linkov), Environment Systems and Decisions (2013)

Changing environment, uncertain economic conditions, and socio-political unrest have renewed interest in scenario analysis, both...

 

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A Decision Analytical Approach for Department of Defense Acquisition Risk Management. (with Igor Linkov, Ben Trump, Nicholas Pabon, Zachary Collier, and Jerry Scriven), Military Operations Research (2013)
 

Books

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Portfolio Decision Analysis (with Ahti Salo and Alec Morton) (2011)

Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation provides an extensive, up-to-date coverage of decision...

 

Contributions to Books

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An invitation to portfolio decision analysis (with Ahti Salo and Alec Morton), Portfolio Decision Analysis (2011)

Portfolio Decision Analysis (PDA) – the application of decision analysis to the problem of selecting...

 

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Applying Value of Information and Real Options in R&D and New Product Development (with Paul Mang), Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (2011)
 
Empirically investigating the portfolio management process: Findings from a large pharmaceutical company (with Jeffrey S. Stonebraker), Portfolio Decision Analysis (2011)

This exploratory study analyzes cross-sectional project data from the enterprise information system at a large...

 

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Managing a portfolio of risks (with Igor Linkov), Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (2011)
 

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Portfolio decision quality, Portfolio Decision Analysis (2011)

The decision quality framework has been useful for integrating decision analytic techniques into decision processes...

 

Popular Press

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Improving Resource Allocation with Portfolio Decision Analysis (with Ahti Salo and Alec Morton), Analytics Magazine (2011)
 

Occasional, Working, and Unpublished Papers

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Connecting big data with big decisions: Ideas for synthesizing analytics and decision analysis (2013)

This paper describes an approach to connect decision analysis models with outputs of analytic methods...

 

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Multicriteria Portfolio Decision Analysis for Project Selection (with Alec Morton and Ahti Salo), London School of Economics Working Paper LSEOR 13.141 (2013)

Multicriteria Portfolio Analysis spans several methods wh ich typically employ build on MCDA to guide...

 

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Property Value Impacts of Foreclosed Housing Acquisitions Using a Markov Model (with Michael P. Johnson Jr., Rachel B. Drew, and Senay Solak), Michael P. Johnson (2012)

Community-based organizations (CBO) across the country are working to stabilize neighborhoods affected by the recent...

 

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A note on the field of decision analysis (with James S. Dyer) (2012)

This note provides a short overview of some history, context and concepts in the field...

 

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Values, Objectives, and Decisions: Using Community-Based Operations Research for Neighborhood Redevelopment (with Michael P. Johnson Jr., Rachel B. Drew, and David Turcotte), Department of Public Policy and Public Affairs, University of Massachusetts Boston (2012)

In this presentation we describe an application of value-focused thinking and decision analysis to the...

 

Other

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Project Website: Decision Models for Foreclosed Housing Acquisition and Redevelopment (with Michael P. Johnson Jr., Senay Solak, David Turcotte, Rachel B. Drew, Armagan Bayram, and Emily Vidrine), Michael P. Johnson (2012)