Prof. Keisler has over 20 years consulting to numerous Fortune 100 companies and government agencies independently and, prior to joining UMB, as a decision analyst at Strategic Decisions Group, Inc., Argonne National Laboratory, and General Motors Corp. He is President of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. He is also Past-President of the Society for Risk Analysis - Decision Analysis and Risk Specialty Group, an Associate Editor of Interfaces, an Editor at the EURO Journal on Decision Processes and a Fellow in the Society of Decision Professionals. His Ph.D. in Decision Sciences is from Harvard University and his MBA is from the University of Chicago. He is co-editor of the new book Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation, published by Springer.
Articles
A Decision Analytical Approach for Department of Defense Acquisition Risk Management. (with Igor Linkov, Ben Trump, Nicholas Pabon, Zachary Collier, and Jerry Scriven), Military Operations Research (2013)
Diversification of flood protection assets for reducing risk of extreme and catastrophic flood losses (with Qian Zhou, James Lambert, Chris Karvetski, and Igor Linkov), Risk Analysis (2013)
Recent catastrophic losses due to floods require developing resilient approaches to flood risk protection. This...
Civilian Response Corps Force Review: The Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis to Prioritize Skills Required for Future Diplomatic Missions (with Igor I. Linkov, Heather Rosoff, James Valverde, Matthew Bates, Benjamin Trump, Daniel Friedman, and Jesse Evans), Journal of Multi-criteria Decision Analysis (2012)
Created by the State Department’s Office of the Coordinator for Reconstruction and Stabilization, the Civilian...
Communicating analytic results: A tutorial for decision consultants (with Patrick Noonan), Decision Analysis (2012)
Good analysis alone may not achieve the goals of decision analysis (DA) engagements. Good communication...
Craig interpolation for networks of sentences (with H Jerome Keisler), Annals of Pure and Applied Logic (2012)
The Craig Interpolation Theorem can be viewed as saying that in first order logic, two...
Books
Portfolio Decision Analysis (with Ahti Salo and Alec Morton) (2011)
Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation provides an extensive, up-to-date coverage of decision...
Contributions to Books
An invitation to portfolio decision analysis (with Ahti Salo and Alec Morton), Portfolio Decision Analysis (2011)
Portfolio Decision Analysis (PDA) – the application of decision analysis to the problem of selecting...
Applying Value of Information and Real Options in R&D and New Product Development (with Paul Mang), Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (2011)
Empirically investigating the portfolio management process: Findings from a large pharmaceutical company (with Jeffrey S. Stonebraker), Portfolio Decision Analysis (2011)
This exploratory study analyzes cross-sectional project data from the enterprise information system at a large...
Managing a portfolio of risks (with Igor Linkov), Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (2011)
Portfolio decision quality, Portfolio Decision Analysis (2011)
The decision quality framework has been useful for integrating decision analytic techniques into decision processes...
Popular Press
Improving Resource Allocation with Portfolio Decision Analysis (with Ahti Salo and Alec Morton), Analytics Magazine (2011)
Occasional, Working, and Unpublished Papers
Property Value Impacts of Foreclosed Housing Acquisitions Using a Markov Model (with Michael P. Johnson Jr., Rachel B. Drew, and Senay Solak), Michael P. Johnson (2012)
Community-based organizations (CBO) across the country are working to stabilize neighborhoods affected by the recent...
A note on the field of decision analysis (with James S. Dyer) (2012)
This note provides a short overview of some history, context and concepts in the field...
Observing, reporting, and deciding in networks of sentences (with H. Jerome Keisler) (2012)
In prior work we considered networks of agents who prove facts from their knowledge bases...
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Values, Objectives, and Decisions: Using Community-Based Operations Research for Neighborhood Redevelopment (with Michael P. Johnson Jr., Rachel B. Drew, and David Turcotte), Department of Public Policy and Public Affairs, University of Massachusetts Boston (2012)
In this presentation we describe an application of value-focused thinking and decision analysis to the...