Skip to main content
Article
Trading Activity in the Corporate Bond Market: A SAD Tale of Macro-Announcements and Behavioral Seasonality?
Risks (2024)
  • James J Forest
  • Ben Branch, University of Massachusetts - Amherst
  • Brian Berry
Abstract
This study investigates the determinants of trading activity in the U.S. corporate bond market, focusing on the effects of Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) and macroeconomic announcements. Employing the General-to-Specific (Gets) Autometrics methodology, we identify distinct behavioral responses between retail and institutional investors to SAD, noting a significant impact on retail trading volumes but not on institutional trading or bond returns. This discovery extends the understanding of behavioral finance within the context of bond markets, diverging from established findings in equity and Treasury markets. Additionally, our analysis delineates the influence of macroeconomic announcements on trading activities, offering new insights into the market’s reaction to economic news. This study’s findings contribute to the broader literature on market microstructure and behavioral finance, providing empirical evidence on the interplay between psychological factors and macroeconomic information flow within corporate bond markets. By addressing these specific aspects with rigorous econometric techniques, our research enhances the comprehension of trading dynamics in less transparent markets, offering valuable perspectives for academics, investors, risk managers, and policymakers.
Keywords
  • Macroeconomic Announcements,
  • Autometrics,
  • Seasonal Affective Disorder,
  • Corporate Bonds,
  • trading,
  • Seasonality
Publication Date
Spring May 14, 2024
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/risks12050080
Citation Information
James J Forest, Ben Branch and Brian Berry. "Trading Activity in the Corporate Bond Market: A SAD Tale of Macro-Announcements and Behavioral Seasonality?" Risks Vol. 12 Iss. 5 (2024)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/james_forest/6/