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Article
Existence of long memory in crude oil and petroleum products: Generalised Hurst exponent approach
Research in International Business and Finance
  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari, Rajagiri Business School
  • Zaghum Umar, Zayed University
  • Faisal Alqahtani, Taibah University
ORCID Identifiers

0000-0002-1822-9263

Document Type
Article
Publication Date
10-1-2021
Abstract

This study examines the presence of long-run dependence in a variety of crude and refined energy spot markets during the 1986–2018 period using the time-varying generalised Hurst exponent. Our results indicate that the weak-form efficiency in energy spot markets is clearly time-varying, with USGC(U.S. Gulf Coast Conventional Gasoline) Diesel Fuel the most efficient and Propane the least. An important finding is that after the subprime crisis, the persistence of energy spot market products has increased. Overall, our finding highlights that the time-varying model is preferable to the time-constant one since the former can capture time-varying efficiency, which heavily depends on a country's predominant economic and political conditions.

Publisher
Elsevier BV
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Efficient market hypothesis,
  • Energy markets,
  • Generalised Hurst exponent,
  • Spot markets
Scopus ID
85103550101
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
No
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101403
Citation Information
Aviral Kumar Tiwari, Zaghum Umar and Faisal Alqahtani. "Existence of long memory in crude oil and petroleum products: Generalised Hurst exponent approach" Research in International Business and Finance Vol. 57 (2021) ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/0275-5319" target="_blank">0275-5319</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/zaghum-umar/4/