Skip to main content
Article
The Relationship between Commodity Price and Currency Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Futures Markets
Commodity Prices and Markets (2011)
  • Yiuman Tse, University of Missouri-St. Louis
  • Kalok Chan, City University of Hong Kong
  • Michael Williams, Governors State University
Abstract
We examine relationships among currency and commodity futures markets based on four commodity exporting countries’ currency futures returns and a range of index based commodity futures returns. These four commodity linked currencies are the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and South African rand. We find that commodity/currency relationships exist contemporaneously, but fail to exhibit Granger causality in either direction. We attribute our results to the informational efficiency of futures markets. That is, information is incorporated into the commodity and currency futures prices rapidly and simultaneously on a daily basis.
Disciplines
Publication Date
2011
Citation Information
Yiuman Tse, Kalok Chan and Michael Williams. "The Relationship between Commodity Price and Currency Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Futures Markets" Commodity Prices and Markets Vol. 20 (2011) p. 47 - 75
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/yiuman-tse/35/