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Article
The Relationship between Currency Carry Trades and U.S. Stocks
Journal of Futures Markets (2012)
  • Yiuman Tse, University of Missouri-St. Louis
Abstract
The article examines the relationship between daily returns of currency carry trades and U.S. stocks from January 1995 through September 2010. Carry trade and stock returns are highly correlated with no Granger‐causality in either direction. An EGARCH model shows that significant volatility spillovers flow from the stock market to the carry‐trade market, but not vice versa. The markets are more correlated in periods of high volatility. Volatilities in both markets also increase more with negative innovations than positive innovations. A sectoral analysis of the index suggests that volatilities of cyclical stocks have more impact than noncyclical stocks on carry trades.
Disciplines
Publication Date
March, 2012
Citation Information
Yiuman Tse. "The Relationship between Currency Carry Trades and U.S. Stocks" Journal of Futures Markets Vol. 32 (2012) p. 252 - 271
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/yiuman-tse/32/