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Article
Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Analysis
The Financial Review (2013)
  • Yiuman Tse, University of Missouri–St. Louis
  • Michael R. Williams, Governors State University
Abstract
Using intraday data, we find unidirectional causality from commodity index‐linked futures to nonindex‐linked commodity futures for up to one hour which disappears when using daily data. Also, the economic significance of index‐linked to nonindex commodity transmission declines to zero within about an hour. Finally, we find that the magnitude of index‐linked to nonindex return transmission is positively related to the amount of speculation, both long and short, in S&P GSCI commodity index futures.  We conclude that speculative pressures exerted by commodity index futures can impact nonindex commodities, mainly through the activity of uninformed, positive feedback traders.
Disciplines
Publication Date
January 8, 2013
DOI
10.1111/fire.12007
Citation Information
Yiuman Tse and Michael R. Williams. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Analysis" The Financial Review Vol. 48 Iss. 3 (2013) p. 365 - 383
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/yiuman-tse/19/