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Article
Do Commodities Add Economic Value in Asset Allocation? New Evidence from Time-Varying Moments
WCBT Faculty Publications
  • Xin Gao, Sacred Heart University
  • Federico Nardari, University of Melbourne
Document Type
Peer-Reviewed Article
Publication Date
2-1-2018
Abstract

We conduct a comprehensive out-of-sample assessment of the economic value adding of commodities in multiasset investment strategies that exploit the predictability of asset return moments. We find that predictability makes the inclusion of commodities profitable even when short selling and high leverage are not permitted. For instance, a mean-variance (non-mean-variance) investor with moderate risk aversion and leverage, rebalancing quarterly, would be willing to pay up to 108 (155) basis points per year after transaction cost for adding commodities to her stock, bond, and cash portfolio. Previous research had reached mixed or even opposite conclusions, especially in an out-of-sample context.

DOI
10.1017/S002210901700103X
Citation Information

Gao, X., Nardari, F. (2018). Do commodities add economic value in asset allocation? New evidence from time-varying moments. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 53(1), 365-393. doi:10.1017/S002210901700103X