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Article
A Multi-Level Trend-Renewal Process for Modeling Systems With Recurrence Data
Technometrics
  • Zhibing Xu, Virginia Tech
  • Yili Hong, Virginia Tech
  • William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University
  • Brock E. Osborn, GE Global Research Center
  • Kati Illouz, GE Global Research Center
Document Type
Article
Publication Version
Accepted Manuscript
Publication Date
4-12-2017
DOI
10.1080/00401706.2016.1164758
Abstract

A repairable system is a system that can be restored to an operational state after a repair event. The system may experience multiple events over time that are called recurrent events. To model the recurrent event data, the renewal process (RP), the nonhomogenous Poisson process (NHPP), and the trend-renewal process (TRP) are often used. Compared to the RP and NHPP, the TRP is more flexible for modeling, because it includes both RP and NHPP as special cases. However, for a multi-level system (e.g., system, subsystem, and component levels), the original TRP model may not be adequate if the repair is effected by a subsystem replacement and if subsystem-level replacement events affect the rate of occurrence of the component-level replacement events. In this article, we propose a general class of models to describe replacement events in a multi-level repairable system by extending the TRP model. We also develop procedures for parameter estimation and the prediction of future events based on historical data. The proposed model and method are validated by simulation studies and are illustrated by an industrial application. This article has online supplementary materials.

Comments

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Technometrics on April 12, 2017, available online DOI: 10.1080/00401706.2016.1164758. Posted with permission.

Copyright Owner
American Statistical Association and the American Society for Quality
Language
en
File Format
application/pdf
Citation Information
Zhibing Xu, Yili Hong, William Q. Meeker, Brock E. Osborn, et al.. "A Multi-Level Trend-Renewal Process for Modeling Systems With Recurrence Data" Technometrics Vol. 59 Iss. 2 (2017) p. 225 - 236
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/wqmeeker/159/