Article
Sustaining Peace and Development: An Assessment of the Philippines' Counterinsurgency Program
The International Journal of Social Sustainability in Economic, Social, and Cultural Context
(2014)
Abstract
The insurgency movement in the Philippines, which started over forty years ago, is composed of two major groups: communist rebels operating in a number of provinces all over the country and Islamic militants operating mostly in the south. This paper examines the factors that affect the Philippine government’s fight against insurgency using time series data consisting of socioeconomic and military variables for the period 1989–2008. The econometric model consists of four equations estimated separately using ordinary least squares. The results of the socioeconomic factors equations indicate that an increase in gross domestic product per capita tends to reduce the number of communist and Islamic insurgents while higher unemployment rate and consumer price index tend to increase the number of communist and Islamic insurgents. The results of the military factors equations indicate that military variables such as the number of combat personnel and vehicles used in the fight against insurgency tend to reduce the number of communist and Islamic insurgents, suggesting that the military’s strategies on counterinsurgency are working. Overall the results indicate that the counterinsurgency efforts of the government should involve both socioeconomic development and military intervention in the affected areas.
Keywords
- Counterinsurgency,
- Peace and development,
- Armed forces
Disciplines
Publication Date
December, 2014
DOI
http://ijsesc.cgpublisher.com/product/pub.273/prod.85
Citation Information
Wilfred S. Manuela Jr. and Adonis R. Bajao. "Sustaining Peace and Development: An Assessment of the Philippines' Counterinsurgency Program" The International Journal of Social Sustainability in Economic, Social, and Cultural Context Vol. 9 Iss. 4 (2014) p. 55 - 66 ISSN: 23251115 Available at: http://works.bepress.com/wilfred_s_manuela_jr/7/