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Article
Keyword-Based Patent Citation Prediction Via Information Theory
International Journal of General Systems
  • Farshad Madani, Portland State University
  • Martin Zwick, Portland State University
  • Tugrul U. Daim, Portland State University
Document Type
Post-Print
Publication Date
10-22-2018
Subjects
  • Reconstructability analysis,
  • Patents -- Data processing,
  • Reconstructability Analysis,
  • Information Theory,
  • Probabilistic graphical modeling,
  • Multivariate analysis discrete multivariate modeling,
  • Data mining
Abstract

Patent citation shows how a technology impacts other inventions, so the number of patent citations (backward citations) is used in many technology prediction studies. Current prediction methods use patent citations, but since it may take a long time till a patent is cited by other inventors, identifying impactful patents based on their citations is not an effective way. The prediction method offered in this article predicts patent citations based on the content of patents. In this research, Reconstructability Analysis (RA), which is based on information theory and graph theory, is applied to predict patent citations based on keywords extracted from the abstracts of selected patents. After applying three classes of RA (variable-based analysis without and with loops and state-based analysis), nine specific IV states of a predicting model are extracted. These states involve the four keywords of “chamber”, “hous”, “main”, and “return”. Lastly, the abstracts of the patents are examined to identify the technical subjects relevant to smart building technologies for which these keywords are proxies.

Description

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis Group in International Journal of General Systems, Vol. 47, No. 8, 821-841, 2018.

Available online: https://doi.org/10.1080/03081079.2018.1524892

DOI
10.1080/03081079.2018.1524892
Persistent Identifier
https://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/27190
Citation Information
Farshad Madani, Martin Zwick and Tugrul U. Daim. "Keyword-Based Patent Citation Prediction Via Information Theory" International Journal of General Systems Vol. 47 Iss. 8 (2018) p. 821 - 841 ISSN: 0308-1079
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/tugrul_daim/121/