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Article
An Empirical Test of Butler's Resort Product Life Cycle: Forecasting Casino Winnings
Journal of Travel Research
  • Steven E. Moss, Georgia Southern University
  • Chuck Ryan, Georgia College and State University
  • Charles B. Wagoner, Tulane University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
5-1-2003
DOI
10.1177/0047287503041004008
Abstract

This article presents a product life cycle and forecasting methodology for both emerging and established casino markets. Gross gaming revenues and win per square foot per day were forecasted using classical time-series decomposition with polynomial regression. The model supports the position that casinos conform to Butler's S-shaped product life cycle for resorts, suggesting that the rapid increases in early-period gaming revenues will not continue without intervention to rejuvenate the industry.

Citation Information
Steven E. Moss, Chuck Ryan and Charles B. Wagoner. "An Empirical Test of Butler's Resort Product Life Cycle: Forecasting Casino Winnings" Journal of Travel Research Vol. 41 Iss. 4 (2003) p. 393 - 399 ISSN: 1552-6763
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/steven_e_moss/88/