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Article
Robotic Realities: Near Term Prospects and Problems
Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
  • Robert U. AYRES, Carnegie Mellon University
  • Steven M. MILLER, Singapore Management University
Publication Type
Journal Article
Version
publishedVersion
Publication Date
11-1983
Abstract

Industrial robots are automation, but with a difference. Other machine tools are extensions of human capabilities, while robots are seen mainly as substitutes for human workers. Robots will find most of their industrial applications during the next decade or two in the metal-working sectors, where they will begin to displace semiskilled machine operatives in medium to large batch production operations. They cannot substitute for skilled machinists or other workers doing nonroutine jobs, or specialized, dedicated hard automation used in mass production. The current generation of robots, lacking sensory data processing and interpretation capabilities, can potentially replace up to 1.3 million manufacturing jobs. The next generation, with crude vision or tactile senses; will potentially displace about 3 million more. However, only relatively large firms can profitably utilize many robots at present; it may be 20 years or more before these usage rates are achieved in practice. A shift from stand-alone machine tools, to manufacturing cells consisting of several machine tools served by a robot and controlled by a computer, will accelerate the practical use of robots in the 1990s.

Discipline
Identifier
10.1177/0002716283470001004
Publisher
American Academy of Political and Social Science
Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International
Additional URL
https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716283470001004
Citation Information
Robert U. AYRES and Steven M. MILLER. "Robotic Realities: Near Term Prospects and Problems" Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science Vol. 470 Iss. 1 (1983) p. 28 - 55 ISSN: 0002-7162
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/steve-miller/67/