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Article
Examining the Statistical Relationships between Volcanic Seismic, Infrasound, and Electrical Signals: A Case Study of Sakurajima Volcano, 2015
Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research
  • Cassandra M. Smith, University of South Florida
  • Glenn Thompson, University of South Florida
  • Steven Reader, University of South Florida
  • Sonja A. Behnke, Los Alamos National Lab
  • Stephen R. McNutt, University of South Florida
  • Ron Thomas, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology
  • Harald Edens, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
9-1-2020
Keywords
  • Volcanic lightning,
  • Continual radio frequency impulses,
  • Multivariable statistics,
  • Logistic regression,
  • Vulcanian eruptions,
  • Explosive volcanism
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2020.106996
Disciplines
Abstract

Sakurajima volcano in Japan is known for frequent eruptions containing prolific volcanic lightning. Previous studies from eruptions at Redoubt have shown preliminary correlations between seismic, infrasound, and radio frequency signals. This study uses field data collected at Sakurajima from 28 May–7 June 2015 and multivariable statistical modeling to quantify these relationships. We build regression equations to examine each of the following parameters of electrical activity: (1) the presence of electrical activity, (2) the presence of the radio frequency signal called continual radio frequency impulses (CRF), (3) the presence of lightning, (4) the overall duration of electrical activity, and (5) the total number of radio frequency sources located by a lightning mapping array. We model these response variables against: (1) seismic energy, (2) infrasound energy, (3) seismic duration, (4) infrasound duration, and (5) the volcano acoustic seismic ratio. Our final regression equations show that each parameter of electrical activity is best defined by a separate set of response parameters, but overall events with greater explosivity correlate with higher amounts of electrical activity. Specifically, (1) the probability of CRF occurring, and the overall number of located radio frequency sources are likely related to deeper fragmentation depths; (2) the probability of electrical activity occurring at all, and specifically the probability of lightning being generated are correlated with high infrasound energies indicating that the gas thrust phase of plume formation plays an important role in charge generation; and (3) the longer an eruption (as determined by the duration of the infrasound signal) the longer we can expect to see radio frequency signals generated.

Rights Information
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0
Citation / Publisher Attribution

Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, v. 402, art. 106996

Citation Information
Cassandra M. Smith, Glenn Thompson, Steven Reader, Sonja A. Behnke, et al.. "Examining the Statistical Relationships between Volcanic Seismic, Infrasound, and Electrical Signals: A Case Study of Sakurajima Volcano, 2015" Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research Vol. 402 (2020)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/stephen-mcnutt/131/