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Article
Predicting the Pulse of the Amazon: Machine Learning Insights into Deforestation Dynamics
Journal of Environmental Management (2024)
  • Fernanda Dias, University of Sao Paulo
  • Nicolas Suhadolnik
  • Heloisa Camargo, Federal University of Sao Carlos
  • Sergio Da Silva, Federal University of Santa Catarina
Abstract
This study aims to analyze deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon from 1999 to 2020 using machine learning techniques to assess 16 critical factors. Our approach leverages the capabilities of machine learning, particularly Random Forest, which proved to be the most accurate model in terms of determination coefficient, mean squared error, and mean absolute error. The analysis revealed that the harvested area of permanent crops is the most influential variable in predicting deforestation, followed by the area of temporary crops. Furthermore, our findings indicate a significant inverse relationship between public spending and deforestation rates. These results contribute to understanding deforestation dynamics and offer potential strategies for improving conservation efforts.
Keywords
  • Deforestation,
  • Amazon rainforest,
  • Environmental analysis,
  • Machine learning,
  • Explainable artificial intelligence
Disciplines
Publication Date
2024
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121359
Citation Information
Fernanda Dias, Nicolas Suhadolnik, Heloisa Camargo and Sergio Da Silva. "Predicting the Pulse of the Amazon: Machine Learning Insights into Deforestation Dynamics" Journal of Environmental Management Vol. 362 (2024) p. 121259 ISSN: 0301-4797
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/sergiodasilva/341/