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Article
Mineral Reserve Risk in Continuous-Time Stochastic Mine Valuation
International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management
  • George Dogbe
  • Samuel Frimpong, Missouri University of Science and Technology
  • Jozef Szymanski
Abstract

In this paper, the authors develop a valuation model (2DPM) to overcome the limitation of constant reserve (CRM) assumption in derivative mine valuation. It develops and solves equilibrium equations that characterise the value of mineral project under price uncertainty and reserve variability due to cutoff grade flexibility. Results show that the determination of cutoff grade independent of optimal operating policies may not always add to asset value. At copper price of $1.5/lb, a 127.8mt reserve is valued at $1,134 and $996 million dollars by CRM and 2DPM respectively. Using 2DPM delays the investment decision and early abandonment of projects.

Department(s)
Mining Engineering
Keywords and Phrases
  • Cutoff Grade Flexibility,
  • Investment Decisions,
  • Mineral Asset Valuation,
  • Mineral Reserve Risk,
  • Minerals Industry,
  • Price Uncertainty,
  • Real Options Valuation,
  • Reserve Variability,
  • Stochastic Mine Valuation,
  • Risk assessment
Document Type
Article - Journal
Document Version
Citation
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 2007 Inderscience, All rights reserved.
Publication Date
1-1-2007
Publication Date
01 Jan 2007
Disciplines
Citation Information
George Dogbe, Samuel Frimpong and Jozef Szymanski. "Mineral Reserve Risk in Continuous-Time Stochastic Mine Valuation" International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management (2007) ISSN: 1466-8297
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/samuel-frimpong/59/