Skip to main content
Article
Democracy’s Effect on Economic Growth: A Pooled Time-Series Analysis, 1951–1980
Studies in Comparative International Development
  • Charles Kurzman, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
  • Regina Werum, Emory University
  • Ross E. Burkhart, Boise State University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
3-1-2002
DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02686336
Disciplines
Abstract

The relationship between democracy and economic growth has concerned social scientists since the 17th century, but recent democracy movements make this question especially important today. Do poor countries face a cruel trade-off between democracy and growth? Do democracy and growth go together as a "win-win" proposition? Or is democracy irrelevant to growth? Using pooled annual time-series data from 1951-1980 for 106 countries, including 88 non-core countries, we explore long-term and short-term direct and indirect effects of democracy on growth. Little or no direct effect emerges, but positive indirect effects appear via two mechanisms: a marginally significant effect via investment and a robust effect via government expenditure. Democracy also has a robust non-linear effect on economic growth via social unrest, inhibiting growth under non-democratic regimes and furthering it in highly democratic ones. Combining these findings, we conclude that democracy does not significantly hamper economic growth, and under many circumstances slightly boosts it.

Citation Information
Charles Kurzman, Regina Werum and Ross E. Burkhart. "Democracy’s Effect on Economic Growth: A Pooled Time-Series Analysis, 1951–1980" Studies in Comparative International Development (2002)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/ross_burkhart/24/