Policy divergence and voter polarization in a structural model of electionsJournal of Law and Economics (2014)
AbstractOne of the most widely discussed phenomena in American politics today is the perceived increasing partisan divide that splits the U.S. electorate. A contested question is whether this diagnosis is actually true, and if so, what is the underlying cause. We propose a new method that simultaneously estimates voter preferences and the parties' positions on economic and ``cultural'' issues. We apply the model to U.S. presidential elections between 1972 and 2008. The model recovers candidates' positions from voter behavior; decomposes changes in the overall political polarization of the electorate into changes in the distribution of voter ideal positions (``voter radicalization'') and consequences of elite polarization (``sorting''); and determines the characteristics of voters who changed their party allegiance.
- differentiated candidates,
- policy divergence,
Citation InformationStefan Krasa and Mattias K Polborn. "Policy divergence and voter polarization in a structural model of elections" Journal of Law and Economics Vol. 57 Iss. 1 (2014)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/polborn/24/