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The U.S. Wheat Economy in an International Setting: An Econometric Investigation
(1981)
  • Paul Gallagher, United States Department of Agriculture
  • Michael Lancaster, United States Department of Agriculture
  • Maury Bredahl, United Stated Department of Agriculture
  • Timothy J. Ryan, United States Department of Agriculture
Abstract
This bulletin  presents an annual  econometric model  of the U.S. wheat economy. The research is part of a series on models for the major U.S. field crops; the goal is to provide forecasting and policy analysis tools
of  ultimate  use  for policy purposes.  Prices  for sorghum, a major  competitor  in the domestic  wheat-feed industry, affect wheat  supplies, domestic demand, and foreign demand. Rising incomes in less developed countries encourage  purchases  of  U.S. wheat, but income growth in Japan and Western Europe reduces purchases.  U.S. Government policy options for exportable wheat- food  aid, exports to centrally planned countries, or Government stock ownership-have significantly different influences on wheat prices.

Keywords
  • Wheat industry,
  • Econometric analysis,
  • Price formation,
  • Domestic markets,
  • International trade,
  • Policy analysis
Publication Date
March, 1981
Comments
Works produced by employees of the U.S. Government as part of their official duties are not copyrighted within the U.S. The content of this document is not copyrighted.
Citation Information
Paul Gallagher, Michael Lancaster, Maury Bredahl and Timothy J. Ryan. "The U.S. Wheat Economy in an International Setting: An Econometric Investigation" (1981)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/paul-gallagher/26/