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Unpublished Paper
How Effective Are Unemployment Benefit Sanctions? Looking Beyond Unemployment Exit
forthcoming in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2012)
  • Patrick P. Arni, University of Lausanne
  • Rafael Lalive
  • Jan C. van Ours
Abstract
[IZA DP 4509; also available as: CEPR DP 7541, IFAU WP 09:22, CentER DP 09:80] This paper provides a comprehensive evaluation of benefit sanctions, i.e. temporary reductions in unemployment benefits as punishment for noncompliance with eligibility requirements. In addition to the effects on unemployment durations, we evaluate the effects on post-unemployment employment stability, on exits from the labor market and on earnings. In our analysis we use a rich set of Swiss register data which allow us to distinguish between ex ante effects, the effects of warnings and the effects of enforcement of benefit sanctions. Adopting a multivariate mixed proportional hazard approach to address selectivity, we find that both warnings and enforcement increase the job finding rate and the exit rate out of the labor force. Warnings do not affect subsequent employment stability but do reduce post-unemployment earnings. Actual benefit reductions lower the quality of post-unemployment jobs both in terms of job duration as well as in terms of earnings. The net effect of a benefit sanction on post-unemployment income is negative. Over a period of two years after leaving unemployment workers who got a benefit sanction imposed face a net income loss equivalent to 30 days of full pay due to the ex post effect. In addition to that, stricter monitoring may reduce net earnings by up to 4 days of pay for every unemployed worker due to the ex ante effect.
Keywords
  • benefit sanctions,
  • earnings effects,
  • post-unemployment job stability,
  • unemployment duration,
  • competing-risk duration models
Publication Date
2012
Citation Information
Patrick Arni, Rafael Lalive, and Jan C. van Ours, 2009. "How Effective Are Unemployment Benefit Sanctions? Looking Beyond Unemployment Exit" IZA Discussion Paper 4509