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Article
A deep learning model for behavioural credit scoring in banks
Neural Computing and Applications
  • Maher Ala’raj, Zayed University
  • Maysam F. Abbod, Brunel University London
  • Munir Majdalawieh, Zayed University
  • Luay Jum’a, German Jordanian University
ORCID Identifiers

0000-0001-9315-0670

Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-14-2022
Abstract

The main aim of this paper is to help bank management in scoring credit card clients using machine learning by modelling and predicting the consumer behaviour concerning three aspects: the probability of single and consecutive missed payments for credit card customers, the purchasing behaviour of customers, and grouping customers based on a mathematical expectation of loss. Two models are developed: the first provides the probability of a missed payment during the next month for each customer, which is described as Missed payment prediction Long Short Term Memory model (MP-LSTM), whilst the second estimates the total monthly amount of purchases, which is defined as Purchase Estimation Prediction Long Short Term Memory model (PE-LSTM). Based on both models, a customer behavioural grouping is provided, which can be helpful for the bank’s decision-making. Both models are trained on real credit card transactional datasets. Customer behavioural scores are analysed using classical performance evaluation measures. Calibration analysis of MP-LSTM scores showed that they could be considered as probabilities of missed payments. Obtained purchase estimations were analysed using mean square error and absolute error. The MP-LSTM model was compared to four traditional well-known machine learning algorithms. Experimental results show that, compared with conventional methods based on feature extraction, the consumer credit scoring method based on the MP-LSTM neural network has significantly improved consumer credit scoring.

Publisher
Springer Nature
Disciplines
Keywords
  • LSTM,
  • Neural networks,
  • Behavioural scoring,
  • Machine learning,
  • Classification
Scopus ID
85123077001
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
No
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-021-06695-z
Citation Information
Maher Ala’raj, Maysam F. Abbod, Munir Majdalawieh and Luay Jum’a. "A deep learning model for behavioural credit scoring in banks" Neural Computing and Applications (2022) ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/1433-3058" target="_blank">1433-3058</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/munir-majdalawieh/23/