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Article
Do accurate earnings forecasts facilitate superior investment recommendations?
Journal of Financial Economics
  • Roger LOH, Singapore Management University
  • G. Mujtaba MIAN, National University of Singapore
Publication Type
Journal Article
Version
submittedVersion
Publication Date
5-2006
Abstract

We find that analysts who issue more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable stock recommendations. The average factor-adjusted return associated with the recommendations of analysts in the highest accuracy quintile exceeds the corresponding return for analysts in the lowest accuracy quintile by 1.27% per month. Our findings provide indirect empirical support for valuation models in the accounting and finance literatures (e.g., Ohlson, 1995) that emphasize the role of future earnings in predicting stock price movements. Our results also suggest that imperfectly efficient markets reward information gatherers, such as security analysts, for their costly activities in generating superior earnings forecasts.

Keywords
  • Earnings-based valuation models,
  • Earnings forecasts,
  • Stock recommendations,
  • Security analysts
Identifier
10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.03.009
Publisher
Elsevier
Copyright Owner and License
Authors
Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International
Additional URL
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.03.009
Citation Information
Roger LOH and G. Mujtaba MIAN. "Do accurate earnings forecasts facilitate superior investment recommendations?" Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 80 Iss. 2 (2006) p. 455 - 483 ISSN: 0304-405X
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/mujtaba-mian/9/