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Article
The Quality of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts During the Asian Crisis: Evidence from Singapore
Journal of Business Finance & Accounting
  • Roger K. Loh
  • G. Mujtaba Mian
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
9-9-2003
Abstract

We bring together three disparate strands of literature to develop a comprehensive empirical framework to examine the efficiency of security analysts' earnings forecasts in Singapore. We focus specifically on how the increased uncertainty and the negative market sentiment during the period of the Asian crisis affected the quality of earnings forecasts. While we find no evidence of inefficiencies in the pre-crisis period, our results suggest that after the onset of the crisis, analysts (1) issued forecasts that were systematically upward biased; (2) did not fully incorporate the (negative) earnings-related news; and (3) predicted earnings changes which proved too extreme.

Publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
Disciplines
Indexed in Scopus
No
Open Access
No
https://core.ac.uk/display/48671551
Citation Information
Roger K. Loh and G. Mujtaba Mian. "The Quality of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts During the Asian Crisis: Evidence from Singapore" Journal of Business Finance & Accounting Vol. 30 (2003) p. 749 - 770 ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/0306-686x" target="_blank">0306-686x</a>; 14685957
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/mujtaba-mian/4/