Article
Scenarios of social conflict dynamics on duplex networks
Journal on Policy and Complex Systems
(2017)
Abstract
Social conflicts among large groups of people can have serious and costly consequences that can
exceed the time and space boundaries of the contentious groups. They require carefully thoughtout
strategies for addressing the contested issues. However, the complexity of social conflicts
poses obstacles to their resolution. Not only is it difficult to find clear cause-and-effect
relationships, but the conflict dynamics impede prediction of outcomes. For any group in
conflict, strategizing to find a way out requires an approach that allows testing of the range of
consequences of various strategies. Thus in complex situations, where predicting how the
opponent will respond to a strategy is difficult, a party to conflict might engage instead in
anticipation, generating and preparing for a range of possible scenarios. We draw from duplex
networks modeling to further analyze a recently proposed scenario-generating model of conflicts
and illustrate its application with two examples.
Keywords
- social conflict,
- complexity,
- network dynamics,
- sociophysics
Disciplines
Publication Date
Fall 2017
DOI
10.18278/jpcs.3.2.1
Citation Information
Miron Kaufman, Sanda Kaufman and Hung T. Diep. "Scenarios of social conflict dynamics on duplex networks" Journal on Policy and Complex Systems Vol. 3 Iss. 2 (2017) Available at: http://works.bepress.com/miron_kaufman/62/