Citizen Forecasting: Can Voters See into the Future?British Journal of Political Science
DOI of Published Version10.1017/S000712340000538X
AbstractPolitical science, unlike economics, does not have a long tradition of forecasting models. However, this is changing. Currently, there is considerable interest in election forecasting. The basis for the interest is a flurry of related publications on House, Senate and presidential elections. A common goal for these studies is the development of a model, inevitably based on aggregate time-series data, which predicts election returns. The resulting models, some of which are quite accurate, can differ a good deal in specification and estimation. Also, they vary in complexity, making them more or less accessible to the engaged voter.
Journal Article VersionVersion of Record
Published Article/Book CitationBritish Journal of Political Science, 19:1 (1989) pp. 419-427. DOI: 10.1017/S000712340000538X
RightsCopyright © 1989 Cambridge University Press. Used by permission. http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayJournal?jid=JPS
Citation InformationMichael S. Lewis-Beck and Andrew Skalaban. "Citizen Forecasting: Can Voters See into the Future?" British Journal of Political Science Vol. 19 Iss. 1 (1989) p. 419 - 427 ISSN: 0007-1237
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/michael_lewis_beck/151/