Presidential Popularity and Presidential VotePublic Opinion Quarterly (1982)
AbstractThe president's popularity rating is highly predictive of his vote share in a reelection bid, especially when popularity is assessed in June of that year. This June popularity-vote model predicts about as well as the Gallup final preelection poll, and a 50 percent approval rating will ensure reelection.
Publication DateWinter 1982
Citation InformationMichael S Lewis-Beck and Tom W Rice. "Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote" Public Opinion Quarterly Vol. 46 Iss. 4 (1982)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/michael_lewis_beck/101/