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Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote
Public Opinion Quarterly (1982)
  • Michael S Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa
  • Tom W Rice, University of Iowa
The president's popularity rating is highly predictive of his vote share in a reelection bid, especially when popularity is assessed in June of that year. This June popularity-vote model predicts about as well as the Gallup final preelection poll, and a 50 percent approval rating will ensure reelection.
Publication Date
Winter 1982
Citation Information
Michael S Lewis-Beck and Tom W Rice. "Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote" Public Opinion Quarterly Vol. 46 Iss. 4 (1982)
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