Skip to main content
Article
Statistical Estimation of Railroad Congestion Delay
Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review
  • Michael F. Gorman, University of Dayton
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
5-1-2009
Abstract

This research identifies factors that are the major contributors to freight rail congestion using statistical analysis. Total train running time is predicted based on free running time predictors (horsepower per ton, track topography and slow orders) and congestion-related factors (meets, passes, overtakes, prior time periods’ train counts, total train hours, train spacing variability, and train departure headway). Primary congestion predictive factors (meets, passes, overtakes) are consistently found to have the largest effect on congestion delay. The predictive equations are used to forecast average monthly train running time with a 4.6% mean absolute percent error.

Inclusive pages
446–456
ISBN/ISSN
1366-5545
Comments

Permission documentation is on file.

Publisher
Elsevier
Peer Reviewed
Yes
Citation Information
Michael F. Gorman. "Statistical Estimation of Railroad Congestion Delay" Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review Vol. 45 Iss. 3 (2009)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/michael_gorman/49/