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Article
Rapid Changes in the Seasonal Sea Level Cycle along the US Gulf Coast from the Late 20th Century
Geophysical Research Letters
  • Thomas Wahl, University of Siegen
  • Francisco M. Calafat, National Oceanography Centre
  • Mark E. Luther, University of South Florida
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2014
Keywords
  • Gulf of Mexico,
  • coastal seasonal sea level,
  • tide gauge data,
  • atmospheric reanalysis,
  • multiple linear regression models,
  • flood risk
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058777
Disciplines
Abstract

Temporal variations of the seasonal sea level harmonics throughout the 20th and early 21st century along the United States Gulf coast are investigated. A significant amplification of the annual sea level cycle from the 1990s onward is found, with both lower winter and higher summer sea levels in the eastern Gulf. Ancillary data are used to build a set of multiple regression models to explore the mechanisms driving the decadal variability and recent increase in the annual cycle. The results suggest that changes in the air surface temperature toward warmer summers and colder winters and changes in mean sea level pressure explain most of the amplitude increase. The changes in the seasonal sea level cycle are shown to have almost doubled the risk of hurricane induced flooding associated with sea level rise since the 1990s for the eastern and north‐eastern Gulf of Mexico coastlines.

Rights Information
Default Rights Statement
Citation / Publisher Attribution

Geophysical Research Letters, v. 41, issue 2, p. 491-498

©2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

Citation Information
Thomas Wahl, Francisco M. Calafat and Mark E. Luther. "Rapid Changes in the Seasonal Sea Level Cycle along the US Gulf Coast from the Late 20th Century" Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 41 Iss. 2 (2014) p. 491 - 498
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/mark_luther/45/