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Article
A Simulation Analysis of the Relationship between Retail Sales and Shopping Center Rents
Journal of Real Estate Research
  • Gregory H. Chun, University of Wisconsin - Madison
  • Mark Eppli, Marquette University
  • James D. Shilling, University of Wisconsin - Madison
Document Type
Article
Language
eng
Format of Original
24 p.
Publication Date
5-1-2001
Publisher
American Real Estate Society
Abstract

This article examines the variation in rents per square foot among regional shopping centers in the United States in response to variation in retail sales per square foot. The analysis breaks new ground by treating base and percentage rents as endogenous functions of retail sales. The analysis further distinguishes between de facto, if not de jure, fixed and percentage leases, and between new versus existing leases. Simulation results suggest that shopping center rents can easily increase in the short-run as retail sales decrease, or they can easily decrease as retail sales increase. In addition, the results suggest that shopping center rents per square foot generally react more aggressively to an increase in retail sales per square foot over time than to a decrease in retail sales per square foot, all else equal.

Comments

Published version. Journal of Real Estate Research, Vol. 21, No. 3 (May/June 2001): 163-186. Publisher Link. © 2001 American Real Estate Society. Used with permission.

Mark Eppli was affiliated with George Washington University at the time of publication.

Citation Information
Gregory H. Chun, Mark Eppli and James D. Shilling. "A Simulation Analysis of the Relationship between Retail Sales and Shopping Center Rents" Journal of Real Estate Research (2001) ISSN: 0896-5803
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/mark_eppli/8/