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Article
A Real-Options Approach to Post-Hurricane Loss Valuation of Damage Property: Rebuild or Repair?
Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance
  • Risa Kumazawa, Duquesne University
  • J. Tim Query, New Mexico State University - Main Campus
  • Mark Yanochik, Georgia Southern University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
3-1-2011
DOI
10.2202/2153-3792.1071
Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the rebuild or repair decision that property owners face after damages caused by catastrophic hurricanes such as Katrina in New Orleans. In particular, we consider how the degree of risk aversion and uncertainty affect the decision-making process. A theoretical model is developed using the real-options framework of Dixit and Pindyck (1994). According to the model, the decision to rebuild a property is reached much later when there is a high degree of uncertainty over future social costs and a high discount rate. We demonstrate these effects using simulations with actual numbers from Hurricane Katrina.

Citation Information
Risa Kumazawa, J. Tim Query and Mark Yanochik. "A Real-Options Approach to Post-Hurricane Loss Valuation of Damage Property: Rebuild or Repair?" Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance Vol. 5 Iss. 1 (2011)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/mark-yanochik/7/