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Article
Why Do Economic Forecasters Get It Wrong?
Social Europe Journal (2013)
  • Mario Pianta
  • Alessandro Bramucci
Abstract
At year end we all assess the past and guess the future. We compare what we expected and what happened. We develop new expectations for the new year. In economic affairs this is particularly important, as expectations on growth are crucial for firms’ investment decisions, for government policies and for people’s chances to work. This is the job of hundreds of researchers that produce economic forecasts in advanced countries. The more uncertain the time, the more delicate their task. Let us see what they expected – and what did happen – for the European economy in these times of crisis.
Publication Date
January 8, 2013
Citation Information
Mario Pianta and Alessandro Bramucci. "Why Do Economic Forecasters Get It Wrong?" Social Europe Journal (2013)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/mario_pianta/102/