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Article
Contraception and the Demographic Transition
The Economic Journal
  • Joydeep Bhattacharya, Iowa State University
  • Shankha Chakraborty, University of Oregon
Document Type
Article
Publication Version
Submitted Manuscript
Publication Date
11-1-2016
DOI
10.1111/eco j.12431
Abstract

Inspired by the historical English experience, we modify the Beckerian paradigm of fertility by incorporating costly, societal influence on contraception. Heterogeneous, generationally-linked households choose between ‘traditional’ and ‘modern’ contraception. The modern has a higher fixed but lower variable cost of averting childbirths. Initially the rich adopt the modern, which unleashes society-wide diffusion. Eventually everyone switches, lowering fertility further and across households. Hastening the switch is falling child mortality. Quantitative experiments suggest contraception was a vital link between the historical mortality and fertility transitions, though not the latter’s proximate cause. Implications for more recent transitions are discussed.

Comments

This article is published as Bhattacharya,J., Chakraborty, S., Contraception and the Demographic Transition. 2016 The Economic Journal; 127; 2263-2301. DOI: 10.1111/eco j.12431. Posted with permission.

Copyright Owner
Royal Economic Society
Language
en
File Format
application/pdf
Citation Information
Joydeep Bhattacharya and Shankha Chakraborty. "Contraception and the Demographic Transition" The Economic Journal Vol. 127 (2016) p. 2263 - 2301
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/joydeep_bhattacharya/44/