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Article
Planning the unplannable: Scenarios on the future of space
Space Policy (2010)
  • Wade L. Huntley, Naval Postgraduate School
  • Joseph G. Bock
  • Miranda Weingartner
Abstract
This article explores the use of scenario analysis as a methodology to rigorously analyze potential space futures, particularly with respect to space security challenges, in the context of rapid and uncertain change across several dimensions of human space activities. The successful use of scenario analysis in other (e.g. corporate and military) sectors is described and results of an initial scenario analysis workshop are presented. Scenario analysis is recommended as a promising approach to evaluating the long-term consequences of various policy choices in the context of uncertainty, and as a process well-suited to fostering communication and building consensual knowledge among diverse stakeholders.
Publication Date
February 1, 2010
DOI
10.1016/j.spacepol.2009.11.007
Citation Information
Wade L. Huntley, Joseph G. Bock and Miranda Weingartner. "Planning the unplannable: Scenarios on the future of space" Space Policy Vol. 26 Iss. 1 (2010) p. 25 - 38
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/joseph-bock/26/