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Article
Breaking Bad in Bourbon Country: Does Alcohol Prohibition Encourage Methamphetamine Production?
Faculty Scholarship
  • Jose Fernandez, University of Louisville
  • Stephan Gohmann, University of Louisville
  • Joshua C. Pinkston, University of Louisville
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
11-1-2016
Department
Economics
Disciplines
Abstract

This paper examines the influence of local alcohol prohibition on the prevalence of methamphetamine labs. Using multiple sources of data for counties in Kentucky, we compare various measures of meth manufacturing in wet, moist, and dry counties. Our preferred estimates address the endogeneity of local alcohol policies by exploiting differences in counties’ religious compositions between the 1930s, when most local-option votes took place, and recent years. Even controlling for current religious affiliations, religious composition following the end of national Prohibition strongly predicts current alcohol restrictions. We carefully examine the validity of our identifying assumptions, and consider identification under alternative assumptions. Our results suggest that the number of meth lab seizures in Kentucky would decrease by 34.5 percent if all counties became wet.

Comments

This is a pre-published version of the article, which was published in final form in the Southern Economic Journal, volume 82, in March 2018.

DOI
10.1002/soej.12262
ORCID
0000-0002-1488-6063
Citation Information

Jose M Fernandez, Stephan Gohmann and Joshua Pinkston. "Breaking Bad in Bourbon Country: Does Alcohol Prohibition Encourage Methamphetamine Production?" Southern Economic Journal Vol. 82 (2018) p. 1001 - 1023