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Article
Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy Surprises Under Uncertainty
International Review of Financial Analysis (2023)
  • Jonathan Benchimol, Bank of Israel
  • Yossi Saadon, Bank of Israel
  • Nimrod Segev, Bank of Israel
Abstract
This article investigates how uncertainty impacts the effect of monetary policy surprises on stock returns. Using high-frequency US data, we demonstrate that stock markets respond more aggressively to monetary policy surprises during periods of high uncertainty. We also show that uncertainty asymmetrically influences the transmission of positive and negative monetary policy surprises to stock market prices. The amplifying effect of uncertainty is found to be stronger for expansionary shocks than for contractionary shocks. Our robustness analysis confirms that financial uncertainty has a significant role in shaping the influence of monetary policy on the stock market.

Keywords
  • Monetary policy,
  • Uncertainty,
  • Stock returns,
  • High-frequency data,
  • Event study
Publication Date
October 1, 2023
DOI
10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102783
Citation Information
Jonathan Benchimol, Yossi Saadon and Nimrod Segev. "Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy Surprises Under Uncertainty" International Review of Financial Analysis Vol. 89 Iss. 102783 (2023)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/jonathanbenchimol/20/