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Selected Works of Jonathan B. Baker
Presentation
The productivity puzzle: How can we speed up the growth of the economy?
Brookings Institution (2016)
  • Jonathan B. Baker
  • Louise Sheiner, The Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy
  • Martin Neil Baily
  • David Wessel, The Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy
  • Robert J. Barro, Harvard University
  • J. Bradford DeLong, University of California, Berkeley
  • Bronwyn H. Hall, University of California, Berkeley
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Abstract

After nearly a decade of strong productivity growth starting in the mid-1990s, productivity growth has slowed down over the most recent decade. Output per hour worked in the U.S. business sector has grown at only 1.3 percent per year from 2004 to 2015, and growth was even slower from 2010 to 2015 at just 0.5 percent a year. These rates are only half or less of the pace of growth achieved in the past. The United States is not alone in facing this problem, as all of the major advanced economies have also seen slow productivity growth. This slow growth has been a major cause of weak overall GDP growth, stagnation in real wages and household incomes, and it strongly impacts government revenues and the deficit.

On September 9, 2016 the Initiative on Business and Public Policy (IBPP) and the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at Brookings hosted a forum on the policy implications of the growth slowdown. Senior Fellow Martin Baily presented an overview paper on the causes of the slowdown, followed by a panel discussion on the most effective policies to enhance productivity performance. After the panel discussion, panelists took questions from the audience.

On September 8, IBPP and the Hutchins Center hosted a series of roundtable discussions of technical issues surrounding the productivity slowdown.
Keywords
  • productivity growth,
  • economy,
  • growth,
  • GDP,
  • real wages,
  • household incomes,
  • government revenues,
  • deficit,
  • Initiative on Business and Public Policy,
  • IBPP,
  • Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy,
  • Brookings,
  • Martin Baily
Disciplines
Publication Date
September 9, 2016
Citation Information
Jonathan B. Baker, Louise Sheiner, Martin Neil Baily, David Wessel, et al.. "The productivity puzzle: How can we speed up the growth of the economy?" Brookings Institution (2016)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/jonathan_baker/141/