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Article
Modeling Chinese inbound tourism arrivals into Christchurch
e-Review of Tourism Research
  • Peter Fieger, University of New England Australia
  • John Rice, Zayed University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2018
Abstract

© 2018 Texas A and M University. New data and modeling approaches are improving the usefulness of Internet search data for forecasting inbound tourist arrivals. Previous research has focused on Google Trends as a source of search data to augment tourism forecasting capabilities. In the context of rapidly increasing Chinese outbound tourism Google data lacks the market penetration in China to produce reliable auxiliary data for tourism forecasting. This short paper provides evidence of the usefulness of Baidu search data in predicting Chinese inbound tourist arrivals into a specific region in New Zealand. It also compares three modeling approaches, finding a Vector Autoregressive approach the most useful.

Publisher
Texas A and M University
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Baidu,
  • China,
  • Forecasting,
  • Internet search data,
  • Modelling,
  • New Zealand,
  • Outbound tourism
Scopus ID
85054034775
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
No
Citation Information
Peter Fieger and John Rice. "Modeling Chinese inbound tourism arrivals into Christchurch" e-Review of Tourism Research Vol. 15 Iss. 4-5 (2018) p. 404 - 414 ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/1941-5842" target="_blank">1941-5842</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/john-rice/1/