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Article
Water Management Decision Making in the Face of Multiple Forms of Uncertainty and Risk
Journal of the American Water Resources Association (2016)
  • Morey Burnham, Idaho State University
  • Zhao Ma, Purdue University
  • Joanna Endter-Wada, Utah State University
  • Tim Bardsley, NOAA
Abstract
In the Wasatch Range Metropolitan Area of Northern Utah, water management decision makers
confront multiple forms of uncertainty and risk. Adapting to these uncertainties and risks is critical for maintaining
the long-term sustainability of the region’s water supply. This study draws on interview data to assess
the major challenges climatic and social changes pose to Utah’s water future, as well as potential solutions. The
study identifies the water management adaptation decision-making space shaped by the interacting institutional,
social, economic, political, and biophysical processes that enable and constrain sustainable water management.
The study finds water managers and other water actors see challenges related to reallocating water,
including equitable water transfers and stakeholder cooperation, addressing population growth, and locating
additional water supplies, as more problematic than the challenges posed by climate change. Furthermore, there
is significant disagreement between water actors over how to best adapt to both climatic and social changes.
This study concludes with a discussion of the path dependencies that present challenges to adaptive water management decision making, as well as opportunities for the pursuit of a new water management paradigm based on soft-path solutions. Such knowledge is useful for understanding the institutional and social adaptations
needed for water management to successfully address future uncertainties and risks.
Keywords
  • path dependence,
  • semi-arid and arid regions,
  • water policy,
  • water governance,
  • climate change,
  • water infrastructure,
  • social-ecological change
Publication Date
Fall September 30, 2016
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12459
Citation Information
Morey Burnham, Zhao Ma, Joanna Endter-Wada and Tim Bardsley. "Water Management Decision Making in the Face of Multiple Forms of Uncertainty and Risk" Journal of the American Water Resources Association Vol. 52 Iss. 6 (2016)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/joanna_endterwada/88/