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Article
Regime Shifts in a Socio-Ecological Model of Farmland Abandonment
Landscape Ecology
  • Joana Figueiredo, University of Lisbon - Portugal; James Cook University - Townsville, Australia
  • Henrique M. Pereira, University of Lisbon - Portugal
ORCID
0000-0001-6597-0268
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
5-1-2011
Keywords
  • Collective behavior,
  • Deforestation,
  • Forest regeneration,
  • Human decision,
  • Hysteresis,
  • Linked social-ecological system,
  • Migration,
  • Threshold,
  • Rural exodus,
  • Utility
Abstract

We developed a mathematical model with two-way linked socio-ecological dynamics to study farmland abandonment and to understand the regimes shifts of this socio-ecological system. The model considers that migration is a collective behavior socio-economically driven and that the ecosystem is dynamic. The model identifies equilibria that vary from mass migration, farmland abandonment, and forest regeneration, to no migration and forest eradication; partial migration and/or coexistence of farmland and forest also constitute possible equilibria. Overall, the model reflects farmland abandonment processes observed in the field and illustrates the importance of the complex interlinked mechanisms between the social and ecological systems determining farmland abandonment, that are not evident when approached independently. The model dynamics show that the hysteresis on the social dynamics renders regimes shifts difficult to reverse, and that this difficulty is accentuated when considering the ecological system dynamic. Similar models could be applied to other socio-ecological systems to help their management.

DOI
10.1007/s10980-011-9605-3
Comments

©Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Additional Comments
Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia support #: PTDC/AMB/73901/2006
Citation Information
Joana Figueiredo and Henrique M. Pereira. "Regime Shifts in a Socio-Ecological Model of Farmland Abandonment" Landscape Ecology Vol. 26 Iss. 5 (2011) p. 737 - 749 ISSN: 0921-2973
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/joana-figueiredo/4/