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Enhancing Pricing Practices Of Subcontractors: A Comparative Analysis Using Simulation Modeling
Computing in Civil Engineering 2023: Visualization, Information Modeling, and Simulation - Selected Papers from the ASCE International Conference on Computing in Civil Engineering 2023
  • Muaz O. Ahmed
  • Islam H. El-Adaway, Missouri University of Science and Technology
  • Kalyn T. Coatney
Abstract

The construction industry often relies on subcontracting, where subcontractors bid for portions of a project before general contractors bid for the entire project in a process referred to as multi-stage bidding (MSG). MSG can be complex, and winning bidders may be burdened with underestimating their bids and encountering the winner's curse. Despite various studies investigating this issue, further research is necessary to examine bidding strategies for subcontractors. This paper addresses this research need by exploring and comparing how bidding strategies based on reinforcement learning and game theory could aid subcontractors in mitigating the winner's curse in MSG. The authors used a multi-step research methodology comprised of (1) formulating an MSG framework; (2) incorporating MSG game-theoretic bid function as the adopted game theory-based strategy, and modified Roth-Erev algorithm as the adopted reinforcement learning-based strategy; and (3) comparing the results of the two bidding strategies using an MSG simulation model. Results revealed that the reinforcement learning-based bidding strategy was more effective in mitigating the winner's curse for the subcontractors in MSG compared to the game theory-based bidding strategy. Ultimately, this research may improve subcontractors' pricing practices and support them in managing the complexities and uncertainties inherent in MSG decision-making.

Department(s)
Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering
Comments

U.S. Department of Education, Grant P200A180066

International Standard Book Number (ISBN)
978-078448523-1
Document Type
Article - Conference proceedings
Document Version
Citation
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 2024 American Society of Civil Engineers, All rights reserved.
Publication Date
1-1-2024
Publication Date
01 Jan 2024
Citation Information
Muaz O. Ahmed, Islam H. El-Adaway and Kalyn T. Coatney. "Enhancing Pricing Practices Of Subcontractors: A Comparative Analysis Using Simulation Modeling" Computing in Civil Engineering 2023: Visualization, Information Modeling, and Simulation - Selected Papers from the ASCE International Conference on Computing in Civil Engineering 2023 (2024) p. 266 - 274
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/islam-el-adaway/187/