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Article
The Clinical Interpretation of Viral Blips in HIV Patients Receiving Antiviral Treatment: Are We Ready to Infer Poor Adherence?
Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (2012)
  • Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Georgia Southern University
  • Manoj Gambhir, Imperial College London
  • Ard van Sighem, Imperial College London
  • Frank de Wolf, Imperial College London
  • Geoffrey P. Garnett, Imperial College London
Abstract
Objectives: Viral blips may be an indication of poor adherence to antiretroviral treatment. This article studies how the variations of the definitions of viral blips and that of the choice of sampling frame in studies investigating viral blips may contribute to the uncertainty of the associations between viral blips and possible causes.

Design: Mathematical modeling study allows us to study the impact of different sampling frames and different definitions of blips upon study results that are usually not feasible in clinical settings.

Methods: Using a previously published mathematical model, scenarios of different drug adherence levels and viral blips, with different sampling frames, were modeled.

Results: In the case of viral blips as a result of nonadherence to combinational antiretroviral therapy, rather than calculating the incidence of blips directly from the number of blips observed in a given period of time, it is better to report the proportion of observations in a given period of time that are ≥50 copies per milliliter. Therefore, as the denominator, the number of observations in a given period of time is important. However, the proportion of blips is not very informative on the drug adherence level.

Conclusions: We should standardize definitions of viral blips and the choice of sampling frame and to report the proportion of observations of a given sampling frame in a given period of time that are ≥50 copies per milliliter, so that comparable data can be generated across different populations.
Keywords
  • mathematical modeling,
  • viral blips,
  • sampling frame,
  • drug adherence,
  • HIV
Disciplines
Publication Date
May 1, 2012
DOI
10.1097/QAI.0b013e3182487a20
Citation Information
Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Manoj Gambhir, Ard van Sighem, Frank de Wolf, et al.. "The Clinical Interpretation of Viral Blips in HIV Patients Receiving Antiviral Treatment: Are We Ready to Infer Poor Adherence?" Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Vol. 60 Iss. 1 (2012) p. 5 - 11 ISSN: 1944-7884
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/isaac_fung1/3/