Skip to main content
Article
Public Health Impact of Paxlovid as Treatment for COVID-19, United States
Emerging Infectious Diseases
  • Yuan Bai, University of Hong Kong
  • Zhanwei Du, University of Hong Kong
  • Lin Wang, University of Cambridge
  • Eric H. Y. Lau, University of Hong Kong
  • Isaac Fung, Georgia Southern University, Jiann-Ping Hsu College of Public Health
  • Petter Holme, Aalto University
  • Ben Cowling, University of Hong Kong
  • Alison Galvani, Yale University
  • Robert Krug, University of Texas at Austin
  • Lauren Ancel Meyers, The University of Texas at Austin
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-5-2024
DOI
10.3201/eid3002.230835
Disciplines
Abstract

We evaluated the population-level benefits of expanding treatment with the antiviral drug Paxlovid (nirmatrelvir/ritonavir) in the United States for SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant infections. Using a multiscale mathematical model, we found that treating 20% of symptomatic case-patients with Paxlovid over a period of 300 days beginning in January 2022 resulted in life and cost savings. In a low-transmission scenario (effective reproduction number of 1.2), this approach could avert 0.28 million (95% CI 0.03–0.59 million) hospitalizations and save US $56.95 billion (95% CI US $2.62–$122.63 billion). In a higher transmission scenario (effective reproduction number of 3), the benefits increase, potentially preventing 0.85 million (95% CI 0.36–1.38 million) hospitalizations and saving US $170.17 billion (95% CI US $60.49–$286.14 billion). Our findings suggest that timely and widespread use of Paxlovid could be an effective and economical approach to mitigate the effects of COVID-19.

Comments

Georgia Southern University faculty member, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung co-authored Public Health Impact of Paxlovid as Treatment for COVID-19, United States.

Creative Commons License
**Select License for Reuse**
Citation Information
Yuan Bai, Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Eric H. Y. Lau, et al.. "Public Health Impact of Paxlovid as Treatment for COVID-19, United States" Emerging Infectious Diseases Vol. 30 Iss. 2 (2024)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/isaac_fung1/198/