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Article
Critical points and transitions in an electric power transmission model for cascading failure blackouts
Chaos (2002)
  • B. A. Carreras, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Ian Dobson, University of Wisconsin
  • V. E. Lynch, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • D. E. Newman, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
Abstract
Cascading failures in large-scale electric power transmission systems are an important cause of blackouts. Analysis of North American blackout data has revealed power law (algebraic) tails in the blackout size probability distribution which suggests a dynamical origin. With this observation as motivation, we examine cascading failure in a simplified transmission system model as load power demand is increased. The model represents generators, loads, the transmission line network, and the operating limits on these components. Two types of critical points are identified and are characterized by transmission line flow limits and generator capability limits, respectively. Results are obtained for tree networks of a regular form and a more realistic 118-node network. It is found that operation near critical points can produce power law tails in the blackout size probability distribution similar to those observed. The complex nature of the solution space due to the interaction of the two critical points is examined. 
Publication Date
December, 2002
DOI
10.1063/1.1505810
Publisher Statement
Copyright 2002 American Institute of Physics. This article may be downloaded for personal use only. Any other use requires prior permission of the author and the American Institute of Physics.
Citation Information
B. A. Carreras, Ian Dobson, V. E. Lynch and D. E. Newman. "Critical points and transitions in an electric power transmission model for cascading failure blackouts" Chaos Vol. 12 Iss. 4 (2002) p. 985 - 994
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/ian-dobson/1/