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Article
A nonstandard empirical likelihood for time series
Annals of Statistics
  • Danial J. Nordman, Iowa State University
  • Helle Bunzel, Iowa State University
  • Soumendra N. Lahiri, North Carolina State University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
12-1-2013
DOI
10.1214/13-AOS1174
Abstract

Standard blockwise empirical likelihood (BEL) for stationary, weakly dependent time series requires specifying a fixed block length as a tuning parameter for setting confidence regions. This aspect can be difficult and impacts coverage accuracy. As an alternative, this paper proposes a new version of BEL based on a simple, though nonstandard, data-blocking rule which uses a data block of every possible length. Consequently, the method does not involve the usual block selection issues and is also anticipated to exhibit better coverage performance. Its nonstandard blocking scheme, however, induces nonstandard asymptotics and requires a significantly different development compared to standard BEL. We establish the large-sample distribution of log-ratio statistics from the new BEL method for calibrating confidence regions for mean or smooth function parameters of time series. This limit law is not the usual chi-square one, but is distribution-free and can be reproduced through straightforward simulations. Numerical studies indicate that the proposed method generally exhibits better coverage accuracy than standard BEL.

Comments

This article is from Annals of Statistics 41 (2013): 3050, doi: 10.1214/13-AOS1174. Posted with permission.

Copyright Owner
Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Language
en
File Format
application/pdf
Citation Information
Danial J. Nordman, Helle Bunzel and Soumendra N. Lahiri. "A nonstandard empirical likelihood for time series" Annals of Statistics Vol. 41 Iss. 6 (2013) p. 3050 - 3073
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/helle-bunzel/3/