Skip to main content
Article
Metal Investments: Distrust Killer or Inflation Hedging?
SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Ghulame Rubbaniy
  • Ken Ting Lee
  • Willem F. C. Verschoor
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2011
Abstract

This study investigates long run metals properties using the extended version of Mccown and Zimmerman (2006) multifactor CAPM-model. By adding extra explanatory variables we improve the explanation power of the existing model in terms of R-squared. Taking German invertors' perspective and using prices of gold, silver and platinum over the period 1985-2010, our findings show that metals are true zero market beta assets. We further show that the determinants of metal prices are dependent on market conditions reflected by different betas for stable and crisis periods. The inclusion of a new variable, economic sentiment index in the models shows explanation power for gold. Its significant negative effect reveals gold position as a safe haven in times of distrust. Our results show that gold is the only metal co-integrated with the consumer price index (CPI) of Germany, thus the only metal providing inflation hedging to the German investor in the long run. Our results are consistent with the theories that metals provide long term hedge against unemployment.

Publisher
Elsevier BV
Disciplines
Indexed in Scopus
No
Open Access
No
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1916283
Citation Information
Ghulame Rubbaniy, Ken Ting Lee and Willem F. C. Verschoor. "Metal Investments: Distrust Killer or Inflation Hedging?" SSRN Electronic Journal (2011) ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/1556-5068" target="_blank">1556-5068</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/ghulame-rubbaniy/7/