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Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Grapevine Leafroll-Associated Virus 3 in Pinot Noir Grapevines in Australia
Plant Disease (1997)
  • Forrest W. Nutter, Jr., Iowa State University
  • Nuredin Habili
Abstract

An epidemic of grapevine leafroll disease (GLD), caused by grapevine leafroll-associated virus 3 (GLRaV-3), was monitored over an 11-year period in Nuriootpa, South Australia. Inoculum originated from infected budwood, and initial GLD incidence at the time of transplanting in 1986 was 23.1%. Infected vines were planted in a random spatial pattern. Change in disease incidence was not observed until 8 years after planting, when disease incidence increased to 27.9%. Disease incidence increased to 51.9% by 1996. Disease progress and rate curves (dy/dt versus time) indicated that the logistic (R2 = 96.2) and Gompertz (R2 = 96.3) growth models would best describe disease progress. However, the logistic model, which has a simpler data transformation with fewer model assumptions, was chosen for the purpose of comparing this epidemic (South Australia) with a GLRaV-3 epidemic in Cabernet Sauvignon grapevines in New Zealand. The logistic rate of GLD spread with respect to time was 0.35 logit/year in South Australia and was nearly three times faster (1.19 logits/year) for GLRaV-3 spread in New Zealand. Ordinary runs analyses indicated that the arrangement of infected vines within rows in South Australia was random up to 8 years after transplanting but subsequently became highly aggregated. Thus, GLD-infected plants are contributing to new infections (i.e., there is evidence for plant-to-plant spread), and a biotic vector with a steep dispersal gradient from each point source is likely to be involved.

Publication Date
June, 1997
Citation Information
Forrest W. Nutter and Nuredin Habili. "Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Grapevine Leafroll-Associated Virus 3 in Pinot Noir Grapevines in Australia" Plant Disease Vol. 81 Iss. 6 (1997)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/forrest_nutter/38/