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Mathematical Analysis of a COVID-19 Compartmental Model with Interventions
Mathematics Faculty Publications
  • Elvira P De Lara-Tuprio, Ateneo de Manila University
  • Carlo Delfin S Estadilla, Ateneo de Manila University
  • Timothy Robin Y Teng, Ateneo de Manila University
  • Joshua Uyheng, Ateneo de Manila University
  • Ma. Regina Justina E Estuar, Ateneo de Manila University
  • Kennedy E Espina, Ateneo de Manila University
  • Jay Michael R Macalalag, Caraga State University
  • Raymond Francis R Sarmiento, National Institutes of Health, University of the Philippines, Manila
Document Type
Conference Proceeding
Publication Date
11-18-2021
Disciplines
Abstract

Mathematical models of the COVID-19 pandemic have been utilized in a variety of settings as a core component of national public health responses. Often based on systems of ordinary differential equations; compartmental models are commonly used to understand and forecast outbreak trajectories. In view of the primarily applied nature of COVID-19 models; theoretical analysis can provide a global and long-term perspective of key model properties; and relevant insights about the infection dynamics they represent. This work formulates and undertakes such an investigation for a compartmental model of COVID-19; which includes the effect of interventions. More specifically; this paper analyzes the characteristics of the solutions of a compartmental model by establishing the existence and stability of the equilibrium points based on the value of the basic reproductive number R0. Our results provide insights on the possible policies that can be implemented to address the health crisis.

Citation Information
Lara-Tuprio, E. P. de, Estadilla, C. D. S., Teng, T. R. Y., Uyheng, J., Estuar, M. R. J. E., Espina, K. E., Macalalag, J. M. R., & Sarmiento, R. F. R. (2021). Mathematical analysis of a COVID-19 compartmental model with interventions. AIP Conference Proceedings, 2423(1), 020025. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0075333