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Article
Terrorist incidents and tourism demand: Evidence from Greece
Tourism Management Perspectives
  • Aristeidis Samitas, Zayed University
  • Dimitrios Asteriou, Oxford Brookes University
  • Stathis Polyzos, University of the Aegean
  • Dimitris Kenourgios, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2018
Abstract

© 2017 Elsevier Ltd The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of terrorism on tourism demand in Greece using monthly data from 1977 to 2012. We investigate whether this relationship is bidirectional and whether it exhibits long run persistence. Thus, we employ a large dataset of terrorist incidents and perform cointegration and long-run causality tests, correcting our data for cyclical seasonality and applying PCA to construct a terrorism proxy according to the severity of the incident. Our findings concur that terrorism has a significant negative impact on tourist arrivals to Greece and that causality is noted from terrorism to tourism only. The results suggest that authorities should establish firm measures against terrorism and that further actions should be taken to promote tourism, safety and security, as a response to terrorist incidents. Our study is, to the best our knowledge, the first to approach terrorism using a three-factor proxy with qualitative features.

Publisher
Elsevier B.V.
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Cointegration,
  • Error correction models,
  • Terrorism,
  • Tourism demand
Scopus ID
85033486902
Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
Yes
Open Access Type
Green: A manuscript of this publication is openly available in a repository
Citation Information
Aristeidis Samitas, Dimitrios Asteriou, Stathis Polyzos and Dimitris Kenourgios. "Terrorist incidents and tourism demand: Evidence from Greece" Tourism Management Perspectives Vol. 25 (2018) p. 23 - 28 ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/2211-9736" target="_blank">2211-9736</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/efstathios-polyzos/7/