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Article
Economic stimulus through bank regulation: Government responses to the COVID-19 crisis
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money
  • Stathis Polyzos, Zayed University
  • Aristeidis Samitas, Zayed University
  • Ilias Kampouris, Abu Dhabi University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
10-7-2021
Abstract

In this paper, we estimate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the banking system and the real economy and simulate potential policy responses. We combine machine learning algorithms, namely a Random Regression Forest and a Long Short Term Memory neural network, with an agent-based framework to calculate the expected results of the pandemic, according to different scenarios regarding financial stability. We then simulate government responses to this crisis and find that traditional demand and supply stimuli are outperformed by our suggestion of relaxing bank regulation. We examine two alternatives of our suggested policy and find that they result in optimised outcomes for most variables examined. Our findings have important policy implications as authorities are formulating post-crisis recovery plans amidst budgetary constraints.

Publisher
Elsevier
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Coronavirus,
  • Bank regulation,
  • Crisis management,
  • Machine learning,
  • Agent-based finance
Scopus ID
85116905057
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
Yes
Open Access Type
Bronze: This publication is openly available on the publisher’s website but without an open license
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101444
Citation Information
Stathis Polyzos, Aristeidis Samitas and Ilias Kampouris. "Economic stimulus through bank regulation: Government responses to the COVID-19 crisis" Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money Vol. 75 (2021)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/efstathios-polyzos/13/